In addition, jisc infonet ran their own event to provide a final detailed layer in narrativestory format which further detailed thoughts on the wider learning landscape as opposed to just considering higher education and what services might look like in each of the four futures. Facility condition data is often restricted in static formats. Jisc project plan template university of east london. Open source scenario planning is clearly an idea with weight, and its time to start looking again at what it might entail.
Nov 16, 2017 invest in facility management software with robust analytics. Check out scenario planning for cities and regions. This follows on from our revamps to the topics section as well as the publication of new resources and tools. Jisc infonet, jisc legal, jisc techdis, netskills, procureweb and tasi are coming together to create jisc services which will formally come into existence on 1 august 2009. Scenario planning can engage stakeholders beyond the planning office to generate plans that account for a wide range of perspectives. Fsg has taught hundreds of professionals the basics of scenario based strategic planning, from oneday introductory sessions to more advanced and indepth workshopbased. However, making predictions about the future is very difficult and this is why organizations create a variety of possible future scenarios. Copies were taken of annual accounts, annual reports, and strategic or corporate plans. Effective practice in a digital age by jisc infonet issuu. It is a method with which organizations can form an idea of possible future scenarios and how these may affect their strategic objectives. This follows on from our revamps to the topics section as well as the publication of new resources and tools like many sections of the website, updating events required the team to think about our offering, the content and promotional aspects. Strategy 7 ways to apply scenario planning how do you expect the unexpected. Scenarios, as opposed to usual prediction methods, are focused on the identification of discontinuities in the development and help the. Developing the next generation of scenario planning software.
Identifying emerging issues in mobile learning in higher. Scenario planning is a process to support decisionmaking that helps. Nov 18, 2019 scenario planning focuses on an outlook for the future. Managing and envisioning uncertain futures by rob goodspeed, the first booklength, indepth examination of scenario planning.
Jisc infonet has produced some guidance on influencing others. Check out how you can benefit from a little preparation. Jul 31, 2009 effective practice in a digital age combines the outcomes of. Fiscal management associates excel template to help nonprofit leaders project best, moderate, and worst case revenue scenarios based on likelihood of revenue receipts, and to compare each revenue scenario to projected functional and overall expenses. In 2007 we contracted cibit to develop a scenario guide based on existing work across european business, adding an education and more specifically it perspective to generic scenarios by running a series of pilot workshops and synthesising participants contributions. A guide to using this strategic planning tool for making flexible longterm plans. In short, it is a perfect tool for todays increasingly uncertain and volatile world. Revenue scenario planning tool for nonprofits planning.
It is a method for learning about the future by understanding the nature and impact of the most uncertain and important driving forces affecting our world. Scenario planning is a tool originally used by the military. May 22, 2009 by jisc infonet it is a sad fact that many projects, particularly those involving information systems, fail to deliver against their objectives on time and within budget. Scenario planning can also be used to complement other. Revenue scenario planning tool publishing organization. Few, if any, scenario planning consultancies in the world today can boast the breadth and depth of experience and the tremendous client list of the futures strategy group.
Scenario planning usc center for sustainable cities. The project aim is to create software that corrects many shortcomings of current professional scenario planning software. Change management toolkit resource details national. The diagram below shows the main components of the jisc infonet project management methodology. The sparc and index online tools are owned and maintained by thomas york of salem, or. Why a project fails pmhut project management articles for. Scenario planning, also called scenario thinking or scenario analysis, is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible longterm plans. Projects fail when they are not managed well when planning is not rigorous or ignored altogether, when insufficient control is exercised, when the necessary skills are.
The logical framework monitoring and evaluation news. Consortium for scenario planning we cant predict the future, but we can prepare for it. The thought processes involved in getting to the scenarios have the dual purpose of increasing knowledge of the environment in which you operate and widening the participants perception of possible future events encouraging them to think the unthinkable. The amount of time worth spending on this is necessarily related to the likely scale and cost of the project. Importantly, the point of scenario planning is not to predict. Outputs will include case studies on seven jisc infonet bi resource data subject categories. Once you have undergone all of the preparatory work you are in a position to begin to build the scenarios. Doing enterprise architecture 2009 by jisc infonet. It involves looking into the future, anticipating possible events, scenarios or changes, and analysing what will happen to the company as a result of those things happening, and, planning to minimize any damage, and maximize opportunities. Three workshops aimed at identifying emerging issues in mobile learning through future scenario development took place, the first on developing scenarios for mobile learning in higher education he was attended by 15 participants, the second on scenarios for mobile learning in.
Open source scenario planning i was surprised at how much attention this article, one of the last i wrote at worldchanging, garnered from the foresightscenario community. Analysis from the evidence uk higher education research. Why a project fails pmhut project management articles. A limited demand for software support can be considered as a certain technical benefit of the scenario approach. The project is creating an open source, freeware suite of scenario planning software tools that have several important and. By jisc infonet it is a sad fact that many projects, particularly those involving information systems, fail to deliver against their objectives on time and within budget. Building and using scenarios can help us explore what the future might look like and the likely changes of living in it. It is in large part an adaptation and generalization of classic methods used by military intelligence. The article deals with the concept of scenario planning. Project management jisc infonet templates view or download.
Jul 18, 2011 the industry supply curve is a graphic representation of the law of supplyand provides insight into competitive pricing dynamics scenario planning overview scenario planningalso called scenario thinking or scenario analysisis a method used in the strategic planning process to help businesses make flexible longterm plans. Recently at jisc infonet, weve been working on an update to the events section of the website. Scenario planning sits alongside a number of other tools that can be useful in the strategic management process. Scenario planning this chapter begins to focus on the final objective of the study, that is, engaging water supply stakeholders in water futures scenario workshops to develop water scarcity scenarios and to discuss likely water district responses to such scenarios. But without a thorough understanding of the true range of investment outcomes, organizations have a limited ability to forecast.
The aim of the new company is to create a more flexible and comprehensive source of advice, with increased opportunities for addressing new and changing needs across the. This exploration results in a broader, more innovative view about future growth opportunities and risks. The emphasis has moved in recent years from building scenarios to successfully using them. Scenario planning is a key technique used by futurists to develop future models in order to help this process and to. University of east london business intelligence project plan. Were here to help you with planning and response around coronavirus covid 19. As revealed by jisc research,1 the social context in. Outputs will include case studies on seven jisc infonet bi resource data subject categories student. This new generation of scenario planning tools is the product of thoms experience helping local, regional and state jurisdictions implement.
It assists them with thinking, in advance, about the many ways the future may unfold and how they can be responsive, resilient, and effective, as the future becomes reality. Scenario planning is a disciplined method for imagining possible futures that companies have applied to a great range of issues. A tool for more effective scenario planning smart insights. Schoemaker is the chairman of decision strategies international, inc. It is in large part an adaptation and generalization of classic methods used by military intelligence the original method was that a group of analysts would generate simulation games for policy makers. By way of example as to the further use of these scenario beds, jisc infonet subsequently used the tanfield outputs as the basis for a workshop at the european conference on research and advanced technology for digital libraries, using the technique to. This new generation of scenario planning tools is the product of thoms experience helping. Index online is a webserved version of the now discontinued desktop version of the index scenario planning software, originally built by thom for criterion planners. Scenario planning gill ringland executive summary scenario planning uses possible future outcomes scenarios to improve the quality of decision making planning. Scenario planning challenges management to revisit its assumptions about its industry and consider a wider range of possibilities about where its industry may head in the future. Scenario planning consortium for scenario planning. Scenario planning or scenario thinking is a strategic planning tool used to. They identify some significant events, main actors and their motivations and they convey how the world functions. As revealed by jisc research,1 the social context in which.
Other guides that can usefully use this technique include risk management the scenarios being used to identify possible risks, portfolio management the scenarios being used to shape your portfolio and change management. This is the kind of approach that underpins the public. Excel template to help nonprofit leaders project best, moderate, and worst case revenue scenarios based on likelihood of revenue receipts, and to compare each revenue scenario to. Scenarios and their application in strategic planning. The strategic, capacity and financial planning capabilities delivered by planview enterprise one empowers leaders to define roadmaps, set plans and measure. Fsg believes theres only one way to properly learn how to do scenario planning, and that is to actually do it, in a real strategic context, and not as a generic business case from outside the organization. As with the other otf core pieces, im very happy to have the originals at worldchanging, but its important to have the material here, as well. Few, if any, scenario planning consultancies in the world today can boast the breadth and depth of experience and the tremendous client list of the futures strategy group, llc.
The scenario planning approach and its evolution in time is presented in the next section. A group of analysts generate different scenarios often in the form of games which combine known facts about the future such as demographics, geography, military, political and industrial information, and mineral reserves, with possible social, technical and political trends. Jun 23, 2016 a similar scenario today might be what if markets suddenly turn on tech unicorns they consider to be overvalued and we see a similar scenario to the 2000 dot com crash. Most planning and scenario analysis processes are tangled in static spreadsheet processes that are a chore to. Preparing a business case need not necessarily be a lengthy or difficult exercise. This can result in suboptimal scenario planning and mismanagement of precious resources. A similar scenario today might be what if markets suddenly turn on tech unicorns they consider to be overvalued and we see a similar scenario to the 2000 dot com crash. Scenario planning anticipating and planning for the future is an essential element in the development of strategies. In a worst case scenario it may be that a management group has decided on a.
Scenario planning or scenario thinking is a strategic planning tool used to make flexible longterm plans. Enterprise scenario planning is complete budget office suite of tools designed by and for public school systems. Best of luck using this tool for scenario planning. The outputs from this pilot work have been further synthesised and are presented here to download and use. Scenario training scenario planning consultants scenario. Jul 30, 2012 strategy 7 ways to apply scenario planning how do you expect the unexpected. The future of every organisation relies greatly on the ability of its senior management to make well informed decisions. Scenario planning and analysis usb executive development. Preparing the business case pmhut project management. The remaining elements, planning, managing phases and controlling, form an iterative cycle that may repeat many times before the project is complete. Most planning and scenario analysis processes are tangled in static spreadsheet processes that are a chore to manage, prone to errors, and tough to share or secure. Pdf scenarios and their application in strategic planning. The techniques for building scenarios are well developedthe challenge is to incorporate an understanding and facility with possible. Outputs will include case studies on seven jisc infonet bi resource data subject categories student data, performance measurement and management, finance and costing, strategic planning, staff data, benchmarking and marketing as well as a final project report with accompanying video.
Dashboards were presented on retention, retention vs target, satisfaction, segmentation, what if scenario planning and noting that by giving the siloed users access to the dashboards the move to actionable insight is much quicker and more effective. University of east london business intelligence project. In this case, you may want to use one of the various levels of detail already presented here as the scenario sets, given they build from a generic, wellaccepted set of global scenarios, up through higher education and ict to lifelong learning and learning providers. Hopefully it wont happen, but if it does youll be mighty glad that you put a plan in place for it. The sustainable communities regional planning scrp grant program supports orallyled collaborative off6rt scenario planning or scenario thinking is a strategic planning tool used to make flexible longterm plans. The industry supply curve is a graphic representation of the law of supplyand provides insight into competitive pricing dynamics scenario planning overview scenario planningalso called scenario thinking or scenario analysisis a method used in the strategic planning process to help businesses make flexible longterm plans. Usbeds scenario planning and analysis programme was developed to assist senior managers and executives to build expertise in an essential area of their decisionmaking abilities, in order to deal with the complexities of the future in their respective. Effective practice in a digital age combines the outcomes of. Scenario planning enables professionals, and the public, to respond dynamically to an unknown future. Scenario planning can perhaps be contrasted with two other approaches. Invest in facility management software with robust analytics. Like many sections of the website, updating events required the team to think about our offering, the content and promotional aspects. Scenario planning is a fancy term for a very logical and sensible process the what if process. University of east london business intelligence project case study.
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